Studs/Duds/Locks Week 10 recap:
Where I was right: Matt Ryan, Andrew Luck, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Stevan Ridley, Reggie Wayne, Roddy White & Julio Jones, Stevie Johnson, Brian Hartline, Tony Gonzalez, Steelers D/ST, Seahawks D/ST, Michael Vick, Daryl Richardson, Ryan Matthews, Jared Cook, Jacob Tamme, Falcons D/ST, and BOTH Lock picks.
Where I was wrong: Ben Roethlisberger, Reggie Bush, Willis McGahee, Vick Ballard, Heath Miller, Jason Witten, Carson Palmer, Christian Ponder, Steven Jackson, Felix Jones, Jeremy Maclin, Denarius Moore, Kyle Rudolph.
Didn't have as great a week as I did last week, but I still got more right than I did wrong. Hopefully I can hit a better percentage this week. Let's get down to business.
Week 11 Studs
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| Palmer should light up the Saints secondary. |
Who would've thought Carson Palmer would be a good fantasy option at this point in the season? He's been on fire recently, scoring 18+ fantasy points in three of his last four games. To make things even better, his match-up this week against the Saints is mouth watering. The Saints have the 31st ranked pass defense, and give up an average of 26 fantasy points a game to opposing quarterbacks on the road.
Andrew Luck QB Indianapolis Colts
Luck is once again in the Studs section this week, and why wouldn't he be when his match-up is against a Patriots defense that is ranked 29th against the pass? The Pats give up nearly 300 yards a game through the air, and have given up a total of 19 passing touchdowns. Not to mention the Patriots give up an average of 18 fantasy points a game to quarterbacks that visit Gilette Stadium.
Andy Dalton QB Cincinnati Bengals
Here's another guy who's been a surprisingly good fantasy option this season, and is coming off a 23 point game against the Giants. Dalton gets to face the Chiefs this week, who have allowed 18 touchdown passes and an average of just about 17 fantasy points a game to opposing quarterbacks.
Sleeper Alert: Ryan Tannehill QB Miami Dolphins
I know Tannehill had a completely miserable game against the Titans last week, but his match-up with the Bills tonight isn't all that bad. The Bills defense gives up almost 250 passing yards a game, has surrendered 18 passing touchdowns, and has only 6 interceptions on the year. Tannehill could be a good pick up and play guy if you're desperate.
Stevan Ridley RB New England Patriots
Ridley is also once again on the studs list, due to a great match-up against the Colts. Indi's defense gives up an average of 120 yards a game to running backs, and I'd like to assume that Ridley will get the bulk of the backfield carries. Hopefully, Ridley won't have any touchdowns vultured by Danny Woodhead or Shane Vereen this week.
Marcel Reece RB Oakland Raiders
With both Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson out once again this week, Marcel Reece turns into a solid starting option at home against the Saints. The Saints give up an average of over 160 yards a game on the ground, along with an average of 23 fantasy points a game to opposing running backs on the road this season.
C.J. Spiller RB Buffalo Bills
Don't be scared of Miami's 5th ranked rushing defense with this guy. With Fred Jackson missing the game tonight, Spiller will see a bigger workload than usual. So far this guy has been match-up proof, and should be able to do so again tonight due to the effectiveness he will have in the passing game as well as on the ground.
Sleeper Alert: LaRod Stephens-Howling RB Arizona Cardinals
This one is more for people who are either in deeper leagues, or have been decimated by injuries at the running back spot. Believe it or not, this guy has had rushing touchdowns in two of his last three games, and the Falcons give up the seventh most fantasy points to opposing running backs. Did anyone see what Chris Ivory did to them last week? Might be worth a roll of the dice.
Denarius Moore WR Oakland Raiders
In case you didn't know, the Saints give up an average of over 300 passing yards a game and have given up 19 passing touchdowns. Also, hows this for a blistering stat? The Saints have given up an average of 37 fantasy points a game to wide receivers on the road. Holy cow.
Jeremy Maclin WR Philadelphia Eagles
Once Nick Foles took over last week, Maclin got 11 targets to DeSean Jackson's 5. If that trend continues, Maclin should have a field day against a Redskins defense that has allowed more than 300 yards a game in the air along with 20 touchdowns.
Eric Decker WR Denver Broncos
Yes, I know Decker only had 2 catches last week, but don't hit the panic button. The Chargers defense gives up the eighth most fantasy points to opposing wideouts. That, and the last time Decker went up against this defense he caught 6 passes for 98 yards and a touchdown. Start him with confidence.
Sleeper Alert: Brian Hartline WR Miami Dolphins
Despite the Dolphins getting absolutely crushed last week by the Titans, Hartline is coming off of a decent game - 8 catches for 79 yards. For more info, see: Ryan Tannehill.
Antonio Gates TE San Diego Chargers
Gates finally seems to be back on his game, scoring double-digit fantasy points in consecutive weeks. This trend is likely to continue against a Broncos defense that has given up the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.
Greg Olsen TE Carolina Panthers
If you've been starting this guy recently, keep on rolling with it. Olsen has been the fourth highest scoring tight end the past month, and the Bucs defense has proven it can be thrown on.
Bengals D/ST
Which team is playing the Kansas City Chiefs this week? Oh, that's right...the Bengals are.
Rams D/ST
The Rams get the Jets at home this week. This was something I touched on in last weeks Studs/Duds/Locks when I had the Seahawks defense in the Studs section. Defenses playing at home against Sanchez and co. have scored the fourth most fantasy points.
Week 11 Duds
Cam Newton QB Carolina Panthers
Newton had an awful game earlier this season against the Bucs, and he hasn't quite fully regained my trust yet. Personally, I'm benching him.
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| Flacco has been a huge ball of inconsistency. |
Joe Flacco QB Baltimore Ravens
Flacco has been wildly inconsistent this season, and the Steelers defense only allows about 11 fantasy points a game to quarterbacks on their home field. Don't start him unless you have absolutely NO other options.
Ryan Matthews RB San Diego Chargers
Here he is again folks. Not only has he not scored double-digit fantasy points since Week 5, but the Broncos have a top 10 rushing defense. Oh, and he has missed practice yet again today due to a neck injury. Don't expect much out of him come Sunday.
Rashad Jennings RB Jacksonville Jaguars
What a disappointment this guy has been. His match-up against the Texans is a rough one, too - they give up less than 100 rushing yards per game and haven't allowed a single touchdown on the ground this season.
Matt Forte RB Chicago Bears
That's right, I went there. After a disappointing game against the Texans, I can't expect much better against the 49ers. Sorry Matt.
Anquan Boldin WR Baltimore Ravens
For three games in a row now, Boldin has failed to score more than 5 fantasy points. Couple that with a tough match-up against the Steelers - who have given up the second fewest points to wideouts on their home turf - and there's no reason he should be in your starting lineup.
Malcolm Floyd WR San Diego Chargers
Champ Bailey and the Bronco's secondary held Floyd to 60 yards and no touchdowns last time these two teams met. I don't see a whole lot changing this time around.
Vernon Davis TE San Francisco 49ers
I am personally fed up with this guy. I had such high hopes for him after the first three weeks of the season. Since then, he has only scored double-digit fantasy points one time, and scored 3 or less points in the other four games. His match-up against the Bears on Monday night isn't good either. The Bears allow the fourth fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
Lions D/ST
Do you think the Lions will be able to shut down Aaron Rodgers? I don't either.
Cardinals D/ST
This just isn't the same defense that it was earlier in the season. That, and they play a Falcon team that can put up points with the best of them.
Week 11 Locks
Packers giving 3 points to the Lions
Sorry, but the Lions don't stand a chance in this game. I don't have much to say about this one. Packers by 10.
Colts getting 9.5 points from the Patriots
The Patriots have struggled at home recently with mediocre teams, especially against the point spread. The Colts will be able to put up points on the suspect Patriots secondary. I don't look for the Colts to win this game, but I don't see them losing by more than the spread.
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